Evidence

What the research says, and what it does not.

Tiny Shifts is built on a narrow, real core of evidence about what happens between sessions. This page shows the findings we lean on, the limits we hold ourselves to, and every study behind them.

What the research says

Six findings that shape the product. Each names its study; the numbers are the authors' own.

Notes on a desk
d = 0.48with vs without between-session work

The one causal finding

Between-session work moves outcomes when it is assigned and then reviewed

Across 46 studies, adding between-session tasks to the same therapy improved outcomes, with a controlled effect size of d = 0.48. It is the only finding here that rests on a causal design, and it is why the loop is assign, carry, and review, not send and forget.

Kazantzis, Whittington and Dattilio, 2010. Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice. 46 studies, 1,072 participants.

A coach on a video call
r = .41alliance and coaching outcome

The working relationship

The relationship is the strongest measured correlate of coaching outcomes

In coaching, the working alliance correlates with outcome at r = .41 across 27 studies, and holds for every desirable outcome category. In psychotherapy the figure is r = .28 across 295 studies. This is why nothing reaches your client without you, and why every message carries your name.

Graßmann, Schölmerich and Schermuly, 2020, Human Relations, 3,563 coaching processes. Flückiger, Del Re, Wampold and Horvath, 2018, Psychotherapy, more than 30,000 patients.

A client reading a message on their phone
g ≈ 0.24 to 0.33self-administered if-then plans in the field

If-then plans

A specific moment beats a general reminder, and the field effect is modest

Plans of the form "when X, I will Y" help people act on intentions. Across 94 studies the headline effect is d = 0.65, but field studies with self-administered plans run closer to g = 0.24 to 0.33. So the messages name a moment and a cue in the client's own words, and we do not promise more than the field numbers.

Gollwitzer and Sheeran, 2006, Advances in Experimental Social Psychology. Wang, Wang and Gai, 2021, Frontiers in Psychology.

A coach reviewing notes
53%of intentions enacted

Intentions alone

Good intentions turn into action about half the time

People act on their intentions roughly 53% of the time, and experimentally changing intentions explains only about 3% of the variance in what people then do. A product that stops at goal-setting and reminding should be expected to under-deliver, which is why the client's replies and the next session are part of the loop.

Webb and Sheeran, 2006, Psychological Bulletin, 47 experimental tests. Sheeran, 2002.

Coffee and notes
d ≈ 0.2 to 0.44for not-on-track clients

Feedback to the practitioner

Progress feedback works on the coach, and mostly for clients who are off track

Feedback systems improve outcomes by alerting the practitioner, not by giving the client a dashboard. The large 2018 IAPT trial found no overall effect, and a real one for clients who were not on track. That is why replies come back to you before the next session, and why the client never sees a score.

de Jong and colleagues, 2024, 25 years of progress feedback research. IAPT outcome feedback trial, 2018.

A person reading a message
r = .16 to .22objectively logged completion

Completion

Doing the work correlates with outcome, and the honest number is small

Completion of between-session work correlates with outcome at r = .26 across 23 studies. When completion is logged objectively, as software does, the figure is r = .16 to .22. We quote the lower number and we do not claim that more messages mean more change.

Mausbach and colleagues, 2010, Cognitive Therapy and Research, 2,183 participants. Kazantzis and colleagues, 2016, Behavior Therapy.

167 hours a week your client spends without you. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, American Time Use Survey, 2025, full-time employed adults.
How the week is spent

What it does not say

The limits we hold ourselves to. Every one of these is written into how we talk about the product.

01

One finding is causal. The rest is correlation.

Only the between-session work contrast comes from a controlled design, and even that confounds the task with the practitioner's attention. Nothing here licenses "if we increase X, outcomes improve by Y".

02

Almost all of it is clinical, not coaching.

The strong evidence comes from CBT with depression and anxiety samples. Coaching is exactly where the evidence is weakest, so importing those magnitudes to a coaching practice is an extrapolation, and we say so.

03

Coaching effect sizes are inflated by design.

Uncontrolled before-and-after coaching studies show roughly three times the effect of controlled ones, g = 1.15 against g = 0.39, and most rely on self-report. We quote the controlled figures.

04

Every moderator points the same way: down.

Objective logging, field settings, self-administered delivery and controlled designs all shrink the headline numbers. A text-delivered, objectively logged product sits on the low side of each one.

05

Nobody has measured this exact thing yet.

How often to message, how fast people habituate, and whether scaffolded follow-through creates dependence once prompting stops are open questions. That is what the three-month design partnership is for.

06

Alliance survives technology, with a caveat.

The alliance holds up in guided online treatment, r = .28 across 23 samples. That evidence covers practitioner-delivered online care, not asynchronous prompts, so we treat alliance protection as the design constraint, not a solved problem.

The studies

Every source behind the findings above, with a link to the paper.

Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice

Meta-analysis of homework effects in cognitive and behavioral therapy

Kazantzis, Whittington and Dattilio, 2010

46 studies. Controlled same-therapy contrast, with vs without homework: d = 0.48.

Read the study

Cognitive Therapy and Research

The relationship between homework compliance and therapy outcomes

Mausbach, Moore, Roesch, Cardenas and Patterson, 2010

23 studies, 2,183 participants. Pooled r = .26; objectively measured completion r = .16 to .22.

Read the study

Behavior Therapy

Quantity and quality of homework compliance: a meta-analysis

Kazantzis and colleagues, 2016

17 studies, 2,312 participants. Quantity of homework completed, g = 0.79 at post-treatment.

Read the study

Advances in Experimental Social Psychology

Implementation intentions and goal achievement

Gollwitzer and Sheeran, 2006

94 studies. d = 0.65 overall; the field estimate for self-administered plans is about a third to a half of that.

Read the study

Frontiers in Psychology

Implementation intentions in the field: a meta-analysis

Wang, Wang and Gai, 2021

Realistic magnitude for self-administered text or email delivery: g = 0.24 to 0.33.

Read the study

Human Relations

The relationship between working alliance and client outcomes in coaching

Graßmann, Schölmerich and Schermuly, 2020

27 studies, 3,563 coaching processes. r = .41, positive across every desirable outcome.

Read the study

Psychotherapy

The alliance in adult psychotherapy: a meta-analytic synthesis

Flückiger, Del Re, Wampold and Horvath, 2018

295 studies, more than 30,000 patients. r = .278; r = .275 in internet-delivered treatment.

Read the study

The Journal of Positive Psychology

Does coaching work? A meta-analysis on the effects of coaching

Theeboom, Beersma and van Vianen, 2014

Controlled designs g = 0.39 against uncontrolled g = 1.15. The source of our controlled-only rule.

Read the study

PMC, 2024

Using progress feedback to enhance treatment outcomes: 25 years of research

de Jong and colleagues, 2024

Feedback improves outcomes by alerting the practitioner; the effect concentrates in not-on-track clients.

Read the study

IAPT outcome feedback trial

Feedback-informed treatment in a large stepped-care service

Pre-print, 2018

No overall effect of feedback; a real effect, d ≈ 0.2, for clients who were not on track.

Read the study

Administration and Policy in Mental Health

Feedback from outcome measures and treatment effectiveness: a systematic review

Systematic review, 2015

The practitioner loop carries the effect; client-facing surfaces earn their keep on engagement.

Read the study

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

American Time Use Survey, 2025

Full-time employed adults

The week behind the 168 numeral on the home page: one cell per hour, one hour the session, 167 without you.

Read the study

Help us measure the part nobody has.

Two or three design partners. Three months with real clients. What we learn about frequency, habituation and follow-through comes from you.